This XAUUSD 4H analysis focuses on market structure, liquidity, and key FVG reaction zones. The 4100–4300 area represents an important internal liquidity and reaction range, while the marked supply and demand zones highlight potential areas where price may respond. The analysis follows an SMC approach: identify liquidity, monitor structure, wait for a sweep or displacement, and seek BOS/CHoCH confirmation before considering an entry.
Gold remains supported after the latest Fed minutes kept the policy tone cautious, while the U.S. Treasury’s decision to increase long-end liquidity support buybacks has helped keep yields and the dollar softer. That backdrop continues to favor precious metals and supports buying interest on controlled pullbacks rather than aggressive chasing at highs.
As per our anticipation, Gold has delivered the expected move from our marked H4 FVG around 4403–4410. 🎯
UBS has extended its gold price projection by one quarter, establishing an end-of-September 2027 objective of $5,400 per ounce, citing further gains from dropping real interest rates and continuing investment demand.
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe has shown a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) following a bullish reversal off low liquidity levels. Price is currently consolidating near the local resistance zone around 4,410.00, maintaining an overall bullish bias above the 100 EMA.
Gold is starting the new week with a constructive bullish structure. Price is currently trading around 4,395 after holding above the Buy Zone Liquidity area near 4,380. The market has already recovered from the short-term pullback, and buyers are now trying to build another push toward the resistance zone above. The chart is not weak, but gold is also not fully free yet. The next big test is around 4,453.